Australian A-League | Gameweek 17
Mar 4, 2022 at 8.45am UK
Docklands Stadium
Victory3 - 1Macarthur
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Macarthur.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Western Utd 0-1 Victory
Tuesday, May 17 at 10.05am in Australian A-League
Tuesday, May 17 at 10.05am in Australian A-League
Next Game: Victory vs. Western Utd
Saturday, May 21 at 8.15am in Australian A-League
Saturday, May 21 at 8.15am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne Victory | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
Last Game: Macarthur 1-1 Western Sydney
Sunday, May 8 at 7.05am in Australian A-League
Sunday, May 8 at 7.05am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne Victory | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Macarthur |
| 48.14% | 23.66% | 28.2% |
| Both teams to score 59.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.48% | 42.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.07% | 64.92% |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.16% | 17.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.41% | 48.59% |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.84% | 28.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.15% | 63.85% |
| Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory 48.14%
Macarthur 28.2%
Draw 23.66%
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% 1-0 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 7.46% 3-1 @ 5.44% 3-0 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 3.44% 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.72% Total : 48.14% | 1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.66% | 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-1 @ 6.37% 0-2 @ 4.03% 1-3 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 1.7% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.74% Total : 28.2% |
Form Guide
