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Adelaide United
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Perth Glory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 22
Apr 6, 2022 at 12.05pm UK
Perth Oval
Melbourne Victory

Perth Glory
0 - 1
Victory


Timmins (28'), Colli (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Margiotta (57')
Davidson (46'), Marchan (90')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Perth Glory

Last Six:
Last Game: Perth Glory 2-0 Melbourne City
Wednesday, May 4 at 12.05pm in Australian A-League

Melbourne Victory

Last Six:
Last Game: Victory 1-4 Western Utd
Saturday, May 21 at 8.15am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Perth GloryDrawMelbourne Victory
38.97%25.95%35.08%
Both teams to score 54.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.95%50.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.97%72.03%
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79%25.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.05%59.95%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.58%27.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.11%62.89%
Score Analysis
    Perth Glory 38.97%
    Melbourne Victory 35.08%
    Draw 25.94%
Perth GloryDrawMelbourne Victory
1-0 @ 9.52%
2-1 @ 8.49%
2-0 @ 6.56%
3-1 @ 3.9%
3-0 @ 3.01%
3-2 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 38.97%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 6.91%
2-2 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 8.94%
1-2 @ 7.97%
0-2 @ 5.79%
1-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 2.37%
1-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 35.08%

Head to Head
Dec 5, 2021 7.45am
Victory
0-3
Perth Glory

Marchan (45+3')
Burke-Gilroy (66'), Bramwell (74'), Fornaroli (88')
Ota (15'), Fornaroli (45+6'), Niyongabire (78')
May 9, 2021 9.10am
Perth Glory
2-1
Victory
Fornaroli (52'), Ikonomidis (56')
Timmins (24'), Ota (34')
Gestede (79')
Kruse (75')
Ansell (48')
Jan 26, 2021 8.05am
Victory
2-1
Perth Glory
Brimmer (86', 90' pen.)
Shotton (45')
Fornaroli (63')
Armiento (32')
Aug 8, 2020 8am
Perth Glory
0-4
Victory

Fornaroli (51'), Elrich (59'), Lia (90')
Rojas (29', 69'), Nabbout (60' pen.), Kamsoba (90+2')
Rojas (26'), Kirdar (44')
Feb 1, 2020 10.45am
Perth Glory
2-2
Victory
Fornaroli (45'), D'Agostino (90')
Mrcela (21'), Grant (36'), Fornaroli (92')
Toivonen (23'), Nabbout (59')
rhs 2.0
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