Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 21.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.