Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.