Australian A-League | Gameweek 13
Mar 24, 2021 at 8.05am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington
Wellington4 - 1Victory
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 47.31% | 24.42% | 28.27% |
| Both teams to score 56.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
