Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne City |
32.44% | 23.95% | 43.6% |
Both teams to score 60.51% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.35% | 41.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.95% | 64.06% |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.02% | 24.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.37% | 59.63% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.65% | 19.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.87% | 51.13% |
Score Analysis |
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 7.64% 1-0 @ 6.7% 2-0 @ 4.65% 3-1 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 2.9% 3-0 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.64% Total : 32.45% | 1-1 @ 11.01% 2-2 @ 6.27% 0-0 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 9.04% 0-1 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 6.52% 1-3 @ 4.95% 0-3 @ 3.57% 2-3 @ 3.44% 1-4 @ 2.03% 0-4 @ 1.47% 2-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.23% Total : 43.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 35 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 32 |
7 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 29 |
8 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
10 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 28 |
11 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 27 |
12 | Macarthur | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 26 |
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