Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Western United had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.83%) and 0-1 (5.59%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.