Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 53.06%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.