Australian A-League | Gameweek 15

Jan 23, 2021 at 6.05am UK

GMHBA Stadium

Western Utd
5 - 4
Perth Glory

Sanchez (10'), Pierias (60', 64'), Imai (75'), Lustica (84')
Uskok (7'), Hamill (67'), Sanchez (71'), Diamanti (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Armiento (56', 78'), Fornaroli (58'), D'Agostino (69')
Sullivan (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Western United and Perth Glory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Western United had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Western United	Draw	Perth Glory
35.13%	24.22%	40.64%

Both teams to score 60.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.81%

42.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.41%

64.59%

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.31%

23.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.2%

57.8%

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.1%

20.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.39%

53.61%

Score Analysis

Western United 35.13%

Perth Glory 40.64%

Draw 24.22%

Western United	Draw	Perth Glory
2-1 @ 8.04% 1-0 @ 7.13% 2-0 @ 5.13% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 3.02% 3-0 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.02% Total : 35.13%	1-1 @ 11.16% 2-2 @ 6.29% 0-0 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.22%	1-2 @ 8.74% 0-1 @ 7.75% 0-2 @ 6.07% 1-3 @ 4.56% 2-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 3.17% 1-4 @ 1.79% 2-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.77% Total : 40.64%