Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 53.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Esteghlal had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Esteghlal win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.