Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Al-Ain had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Sadd win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.8%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Al-Ain win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Sadd would win this match.