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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 29, 2023 at 2pm UK
Thammasat Stadium (Pathum Thani)

Bangkok Utd
1 - 0
Lion City

Poomchantuek (86')
Thongsong (31')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Henrique (24'), Pires (90'), Lestienne (90+5')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Bangkok United and Lion City Sailors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bangkok United

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Last Game: Bangkok Utd 1-1 Kitchee
Wednesday, November 8 at 12pm in AFC Champions League
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Lion City Sailors

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Last Game: Lion City 2-0 Jeonbuk
Wednesday, November 8 at 10am in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bangkok United win with a probability of 69.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Lion City Sailors had a probability of 12.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bangkok United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Lion City Sailors win it was 1-2 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bangkok United would win this match.

Result
Bangkok UnitedDrawLion City Sailors
69.52% (1.349 1.35) 17.5% (-0.531 -0.53) 12.98% (-0.823 -0.82)
Both teams to score 54.83% (-0.468 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.12% (0.556 0.56)35.88% (-0.562 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.04% (0.61 0.61)57.96% (-0.616 -0.62)
Bangkok United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.7% (0.464 0.46)9.29% (-0.469 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.62% (1.094 1.09)31.37% (-1.1 -1.1)
Lion City Sailors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.45% (-0.832 -0.83)39.55% (0.826 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.76% (-0.782 -0.78)76.24% (0.776 0.78)
Score Analysis
    Bangkok United 69.52%
    Lion City Sailors 12.98%
    Draw 17.5%
Bangkok UnitedDrawLion City Sailors
2-0 @ 10.37% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 8.73% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 8.22% (0.28 0.28)
3-1 @ 7.62% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
4-0 @ 4.88% (0.263 0.26)
4-1 @ 4.53% (0.147 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.32% (0.17 0.17)
5-1 @ 2.15% (0.113 0.11)
4-2 @ 2.1% (0.022 0.02)
5-2 @ 1% (0.03 0.03)
6-0 @ 0.92% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 69.52%
1-1 @ 8.1% (-0.243 -0.24)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-0 @ 3.68% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.5%
1-2 @ 3.76% (-0.201 -0.2)
0-1 @ 3.41% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-2 @ 1.58% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.16% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 12.98%

Head to Head
Sep 20, 2023 1pm
Group Stage
Lion City
1-2
Bangkok Utd
Lopes (25')
Pires (32'), Syahin (78')
Everton (51'), Puangjan (62')
Eid (25'), Notchaiya (70'), Anan (83')
rhs 2.0
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