Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for United City had a probability of 37.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.41%) and 3-1 (4.88%). The likeliest United City win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.