Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 50.95%. A win for Daegu had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.46%) and 1-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Daegu win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.