Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Navbahor win with a probability of 75.65%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Nassaji Mazandaran had a probability of 6.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Navbahor win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.51%) and 3-0 (11.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.95%), while for a Nassaji Mazandaran win it was 0-1 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Navbahor would win this match.