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AFC Champions League | Quarter-Finals
Aug 22, 2022 at 12pm UK
Saitama Stadium 2002

Urawa
4 - 0
Pathum Utd

Moberg-Karlsson (32'), Iwanami (42'), Koizumi (65'), Akimoto (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Quarter-Finals clash between Urawa Red Diamonds and BG Pathum United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Urawa Red Diamonds

Last Six:
Last Game: Johor Darul 0-5 Urawa
Friday, August 19 at 12pm in AFC Champions League

BG Pathum United

Last Six:
    Last Game: Pathum Utd 4-0 Kitchee
    Friday, August 19 at 9am in AFC Champions League

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 49.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 25.04%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a BG Pathum United win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.

    Result
    Urawa Red DiamondsDrawBG Pathum United
    49.21% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 25.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    Both teams to score 49.62% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    46.37% (0.018000000000001 0.02)53.62% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    24.88% (0.015000000000001 0.02)75.12% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
    Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    78.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)21.81% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    44.97% (0.009999999999998 0.01)55.03% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
    BG Pathum United Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    63.47% (0.013000000000005 0.01)36.53% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    26.68% (0.015000000000001 0.02)73.32% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
    Score Analysis
        Urawa Red Diamonds 49.2%
        BG Pathum United 25.04%
        Draw 25.74%
    Urawa Red DiamondsDrawBG Pathum United
    1-0 @ 12.13%
    2-1 @ 9.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
    2-0 @ 9.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    3-1 @ 4.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
    3-0 @ 4.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
    3-2 @ 2.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    4-1 @ 1.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    4-0 @ 1.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    4-2 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
    Other @ 2.26%
    Total : 49.2%
    		1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
    0-0 @ 7.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
    2-2 @ 4.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    Other @ 0.88%
    Total : 25.74%
    		0-1 @ 8.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    1-2 @ 6.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
    0-2 @ 4.04%
    1-3 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    2-3 @ 1.57% (0.0010000000000001 0)
    0-3 @ 1.36%
    Other @ 1.83%
    Total : 25.04%

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