Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 20, 2023 at 2pm UK
Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium
Burundi3 - 2Namibia
Bigirimana (1'), Bimenyimana (9'), Shabani (19')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Indonesia 2-2 Burundi
Tuesday, March 28 at 2.30pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, March 28 at 2.30pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Last Game: Namibia 2-1 Cameroon
Tuesday, March 28 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, March 28 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | South Africa | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Namibia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
We said: Burundi 1-0 Namibia
Knowing that anything less than three points here would spell the end of their AFCON aspirations, we expect Burundi to be fully up for this one, and coupled with the added advantage of playing on home turf, we fancy the hosts to secure a narrow victory at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Namibia win with a probability of 81.38%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 4.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Namibia win was 0-2 with a probability of 18.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15.83%) and 0-3 (14.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.86%), while for a Burundi win it was 1-0 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burundi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burundi | Draw | Namibia |
4.5% ( -37.51) | 14.11% ( -7.5) | 81.38% ( 45.01) |
| Both teams to score 27.91% ( -42.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
