MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 14:46:33| >> :600:1332796:1332796:
Cameroon national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Omnisports
Kenya national football team

Cameroon
4 - 1
Kenya

Aboubakar (8' pen.), Hongla (39'), Mbeumo (43'), Bassogog (55')
Ndzie (74')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Olunga (41')
Nondi (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Cameroon and Kenya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Zimbabwe 0-0 Cameroon
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Namibia 1-2 Kenya
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Cameroon 2-1 Kenya

Both teams are on a decent run of results at the moment, and neither will be low on confidence heading into Friday's clash.   We are anticipating an open and end-to-end affair with the hosts just about edging their visitors in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 61.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 13.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.34%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.28%), while for a Kenya win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cameroon would win this match.

Result
CameroonDrawKenya
61.96% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08) 24.6% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 13.44% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 35.39% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.23% (0.032000000000004 0.03)62.76% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.7% (0.024000000000001 0.02)82.29% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Cameroon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.69% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)20.3% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.32% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)52.67% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.41% (0.116 0.12)55.58% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.77% (0.068000000000001 0.07)88.23% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Cameroon 61.95%
    Kenya 13.44%
    Draw 24.59%
CameroonDrawKenya
1-0 @ 17.99% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 14.34% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.62% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.04% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.32% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 61.95%
0-0 @ 11.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-1 @ 10.56% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 2.47% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24.59%
0-1 @ 6.63% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.1% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.95% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 13.44%

How you voted: Cameroon vs Kenya

Cameroon
63.4%
Draw
19.5%
Kenya
17.1%
41
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