MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 12:25:31| >> :600:1324334:1324334:
Kenya national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 6, 2024 at 2pm UK
Mandela National Stadium
Zimbabwe national football team

Kenya
0 - 0
Zimbabwe


Odada (51')
FT

Billiat (23'), Takwara (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Kenya and Zimbabwe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Kenya 2-0 Zimbabwe
Tuesday, July 2 at 11am in COSAFA Cup
All competitions
Last Game: Kenya 2-0 Zimbabwe
Tuesday, July 2 at 11am in COSAFA Cup

We said: Kenya 1-0 Zimbabwe

Kenya's dominance in this fixture will give them a bit of a psychological edge and coupled with the added advantage of playing in front of their fans, we are backing them to carry the day, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zimbabwe win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zimbabwe win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Kenya win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
KenyaDrawZimbabwe
28.79% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05) 28.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 42.95% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 45.25% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.43% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)60.57% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.33% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)80.67% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.8% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)37.19% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.02% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)73.98% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Zimbabwe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.05% (0.010000000000005 0.01)27.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.42% (0.011000000000003 0.01)63.58% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kenya 28.79%
    Zimbabwe 42.94%
    Draw 28.25%
KenyaDrawZimbabwe
1-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 6.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.68% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 28.79%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 10.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.25%
0-1 @ 13.25% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.45% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.59% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.14% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 42.94%

How you voted: Kenya vs Zimbabwe

Kenya
55.3%
Draw
26.3%
Zimbabwe
18.4%
38
Head to Head
Jul 2, 2024 11am
Group Stage
Kenya
2-0
Zimbabwe
Odhiambo (54'), Omala (73')

Banda (88')
Mar 26, 2024 3pm
Friendlies 1
Kenya
3-1
Zimbabwe
Olunga (45+1', 63', 87')
Odada (53'), Shichenje (90+4')
Odada (73')
Okumu (4' og.)
Hadebe (6')
Hadebe (56')
rhs 2.0
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2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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