MX23RW : Monday, January 20 22:01:56| >> :600:3950919:3950919:
Kenya national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 6, 2024 at 2pm UK
Mandela National Stadium
Zimbabwe national football team

Kenya
0 - 0
Zimbabwe


Odada (51')
FT

Billiat (23'), Takwara (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Kenya and Zimbabwe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Kenya 2-0 Zimbabwe
Tuesday, July 2 at 11am in COSAFA Cup
All competitions
Last Game: Kenya 2-0 Zimbabwe
Tuesday, July 2 at 11am in COSAFA Cup

We said: Kenya 1-0 Zimbabwe

Kenya's dominance in this fixture will give them a bit of a psychological edge and coupled with the added advantage of playing in front of their fans, we are backing them to carry the day, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zimbabwe win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zimbabwe win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Kenya win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
KenyaDrawZimbabwe
28.79% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05) 28.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 42.95% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 45.25% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.43% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)60.57% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.33% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)80.67% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.8% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)37.19% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.02% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)73.98% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Zimbabwe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.05% (0.010000000000005 0.01)27.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.42% (0.011000000000003 0.01)63.58% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kenya 28.79%
    Zimbabwe 42.94%
    Draw 28.25%
KenyaDrawZimbabwe
1-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 6.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.68% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 28.79%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 10.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.25%
0-1 @ 13.25% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.45% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.59% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.14% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 42.94%

How you voted: Kenya vs Zimbabwe

Kenya
55.3%
Draw
26.3%
Zimbabwe
18.4%
38
Head to Head
Jul 2, 2024 11am
Group Stage
Kenya
2-0
Zimbabwe
Odhiambo (54'), Omala (73')

Banda (88')
Mar 26, 2024 3pm
Friendlies 1
Kenya
3-1
Zimbabwe
Olunga (45+1', 63', 87')
Odada (53'), Shichenje (90+4')
Odada (73')
Okumu (4' og.)
Hadebe (6')
Hadebe (56')
rhs 2.0
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