COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jun 30, 2024 at 11am UK
Wolfson Stadium
Kenya0 - 2Comoros
Ochuoga (12')
Ochuoga (33')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Djambae (34' pen., 49')
Alfonsi Ahmed (10')
Alfonsi Ahmed (10')
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Kenya and Comoros.
Form, Standings, Stats
COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Zambia 0-2 Kenya
Thursday, June 27 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Thursday, June 27 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Algeria | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Kenya | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 20.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.06%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Kenya win it was 1-0 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Comoros would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kenya | Draw | Comoros |
20.89% ( 0.29) | 27.3% ( 0.08) | 51.82% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 41.18% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
