COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jun 30, 2024 at 11am UK
Wolfson Stadium
Kenya0 - 2Comoros
Ochuoga (12')
Ochuoga (33')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Djambae (34' pen., 49')
Alfonsi Ahmed (10')
Alfonsi Ahmed (10')
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Kenya and Comoros.
Form, Standings, Stats
COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Zambia 0-2 Kenya
Thursday, June 27 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Thursday, June 27 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Algeria | 3 | 6 | 9 |
2 | Senegal | 3 | 4 | 6 |
3 | Kenya | 3 | -4 | 3 |
4 | Tanzania | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 20.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.06%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Kenya win it was 1-0 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Comoros would win this match.
Result | ||
Kenya | Draw | Comoros |
20.89% ( 0.29) | 27.3% ( 0.08) | 51.82% ( -0.37) |
Both teams to score 41.18% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.68% ( 0.01) | 62.32% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.03% ( 0.01) | 81.97% ( -0.01) |
Kenya Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.45% ( 0.33) | 45.55% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.63% ( 0.26) | 81.37% ( -0.26) |
Comoros Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.63% ( -0.17) | 24.37% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.23% ( -0.23) | 58.77% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Kenya 20.89%
Comoros 51.81%
Draw 27.28%
Kenya | Draw | Comoros |
1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.61% Total : 20.89% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.45% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 15.67% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 11.06% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.21% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 51.81% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-01 20:10:34
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
England
vs.
Switzerland
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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