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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Congo national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 8, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stade Alphonse Massamba-Débat
Gambia national football team

Congo
1 - 0
Gambia

Makoumbou (74')
Machel Hokemba Ovouka (5'), Ndzila (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Darboe (44'), Gomez (53'), Ceesay (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Congo and Gambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo

Last Six:
Last Game: Congo 1-0 Gambia
Wednesday, June 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Congo vs. South Sudan
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Gambia

Last Six:
Last Game: Congo 1-0 Gambia
Wednesday, June 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Mali vs. Gambia
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Congo 1-1 Gambia

 While Congo will be looking to arrest their slump, next up is an opposing side who are unbeaten in six of their last seven outings. However, we predict Congo will take a cautious approach to the game and force a share of the spoils in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 36.61%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Gambia win was 0-1 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Congo in this match.

Result
CongoDrawGambia
36.61% (0.194 0.19) 28.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 34.92% (-0.223 -0.22)
Both teams to score 46.39% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.02% (-0.105 -0.1)59.97% (0.1 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.78% (-0.081 -0.08)80.22% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Congo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.65% (0.067999999999998 0.07)31.35% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.29% (0.082000000000001 0.08)67.71% (-0.086000000000013 -0.09)
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.57% (-0.2 -0.2)32.43% (0.19600000000001 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.05% (-0.225 -0.23)68.95% (0.22 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Congo 36.61%
    Gambia 34.91%
    Draw 28.46%
CongoDrawGambia
1-0 @ 11.79% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.7% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.84% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.98% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.65% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 36.61%
1-1 @ 13.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.16% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.46%
0-1 @ 11.44% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.45% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.42% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 34.91%

How you voted: Congo vs Gambia

Congo
31.4%
Draw
25.7%
Gambia
42.9%
35
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2020 5pm
Congo
0-1
Gambia
rhs 2.0
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