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Africa Cup of Nations
Ivory Coast national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Laurent Pokou Stadium
Sierra Leone national football team

Ivory Coast
4 - 1
Sierra Leone

Pepe (3'), Kessie (51', 75' pen.), Diakite (87' pen.)
Traore (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Koroma (43')
Fornah (57'), Nbalie Kamara (75'), Traore (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Ivory Coast and Sierra Leone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Chad 0-2 Ivory Coast
Tuesday, September 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Sierra Leone

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Zambia 3-2 Sierra Leone
Tuesday, September 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Ivory Coast 3-1 Sierra Leone

 Not only do Ivory Coast boast the stronger squad on paper, they are also in scintillating form ahead of Friday's encounter, and we fully expect them to claim a fairly comfortable win at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 81.67%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 5.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.38%) and 1-0 (12.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.04%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (2.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result
Ivory CoastDrawSierra Leone
81.67% (0.025999999999996 0.03) 13.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0) 5.08% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 34.12% (-0.188 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.63% (-0.141 -0.14)43.36% (0.137 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.24% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)65.76% (0.137 0.14)
Ivory Coast Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.69% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)8.3% (0.025 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.02% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)28.97% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Sierra Leone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
37.22% (-0.194 -0.19)62.78% (0.191 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.99% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)92% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Ivory Coast 81.66%
    Sierra Leone 5.08%
    Draw 13.24%
Ivory CoastDrawSierra Leone
2-0 @ 16.14% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
3-0 @ 13.38% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 12.97% (0.06 0.06)
4-0 @ 8.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.52% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
5-0 @ 4.15%
4-1 @ 3.88% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.72% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 81.66%
1-1 @ 6.04% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 1.75% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 13.24%
0-1 @ 2.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 1.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 5.08%

How you voted: Ivory Coast vs Sierra Leone

Ivory Coast
80.8%
Draw
15.4%
Sierra Leone
3.8%
26
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 5pm
Friendlies 1
Ivory Coast
5-1
Sierra Leone
Diomande (18'), Kessie (36'), Bamba (38'), Boga (48'), Thierry Lazare (84')
Diakite (81')
Michael (86')
Dumbuya (57'), Koroma (65')
Jan 16, 2022 4pm
Group Stage
Ivory Coast
2-2
Sierra Leone
Haller (25'), Pepe (65')
Kamara (55'), Kamara (90+3')
Kakay (52'), Kamara (90+5')
> Preview
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