Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 50.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 23.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Liberia win it was 1-0 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Morocco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Morocco.
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