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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Sudan national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 4, 2024 at 2pm UK
Juba Stadium
Niger national football team

Sudan
1 - 0
Niger

Eisa (51')
Thierry (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Diabate (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Sudan and Niger, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sudan

All competitions
Last Game: South Sudan 0-3 Sudan
Tuesday, June 11 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Niger

All competitions
Last Game: Burkina Faso 0-0 Niger
Tuesday, March 26 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Ghana347
2Mali304
3Congo DR303
4Niger3-41

We said: Sudan 2-1 Niger

 Sudan are enjoying a fine run of form and have demonstrated their capabilities in the World Cup qualifiers, remaining unbeaten to date. Niger, conversely, are experiencing a difficult period and enter this match on a poor run. Given the disparity in form, we anticipate Sudan to have too much for their opponents to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudan win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Niger had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest Niger win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sudan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sudan.

Result
SudanDrawNiger
42.11% (0.127 0.13) 28.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 29.44% (-0.131 -0.13)
Both teams to score 45.03% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.01% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)60.99% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.01% (-0.029 -0.03)80.99% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.38% (0.049999999999997 0.05)28.61% (-0.058000000000003 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.58% (0.067 0.07)64.41% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Niger Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.08% (-0.123 -0.12)36.91% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.29% (-0.12 -0.12)73.7% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Sudan 42.1%
    Niger 29.43%
    Draw 28.45%
SudanDrawNiger
1-0 @ 13.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.27% (0.036 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.45% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.44% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.71%
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 42.1%
1-1 @ 13.17%
0-0 @ 10.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.45%
0-1 @ 10.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 29.43%

How you voted: Sudan vs Niger

Sudan
71.4%
Draw
22.9%
Niger
5.7%
35
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2021 5pm
Friendlies 3
Sudan
3-0
Niger
Aug 22, 2021 5pm
Friendlies 3
Sudan
1-2
Niger
rhs 2.0
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