Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2023 at 8pm UK
Tunisia3 - 0Botswana
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Algeria 1-1 Tunisia
Tuesday, June 20 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, June 20 at 8pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Denmark | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Last Game: Namibia 0-0 Botswana
Tuesday, July 11 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Tuesday, July 11 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
We said: Tunisia 2-0 Botswana
Tunisia are yet to concede in five straight home matches, and we expect that run to continue given Botswana's struggles in front of goal. We can also see the hosts cruising to a routine victory come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 14.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.9%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.3%), while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tunisia | Draw | Botswana |
60.65% ( 0.06) | 25.04% ( -0.03) | 14.31% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 36.22% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
