Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 17, 2022 at 4pm UK
Burkina Faso1 - 1Ethiopia
We said: Burkina Faso 2-1 Ethiopia
Burkina Faso were impressive in their last involvement and will back themselves to heap more misery on an out-of-form Ethiopia side. We expect Burkina Faso to get the job done and progress into the last 16. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 21.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.72%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 0-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burkina Faso | Draw | Ethiopia |
| 50.1% | 28.65% | 21.24% |
| Both teams to score 38.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
