Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Dec 26, 2025 at 3pm UK

Egypt
vs.
South Africa

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Group Stage clash between Egypt and South Africa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions

Last Game: Egypt 2-1 Nigeria
Tuesday, December 16 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Egypt vs. Zimbabwe
Monday, December 22 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

South Africa

All competitions

Last Game: South Africa 3-1 Zambia
Saturday, November 15 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: South Africa vs. Angola
Monday, December 22 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Egypt win with a probability of 36.11%. A win for South Africa has a probability of 35.34% and a draw has a probability of 28.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest South Africa win is 0-1 (11.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.3%).

Result
Egypt	Draw	South Africa
36.11% ( 0.54)	28.55% ( -0.76)	35.34% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 46.15% (

2.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.73% (

2.62)

60.26% (

-2.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.56% (

1.94)

80.44% (

-1.94)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.19% (

1.7)

31.81% (

-1.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.75% (

1.91)

68.25% (

-1.91)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.69% (

1.51)

32.31% (

-1.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.18% (

1.67)

68.81% (

-1.67)

Score Analysis

Egypt 36.11%

South Africa 35.33%

Draw 28.55%

Egypt	Draw	South Africa
1-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.62) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.85% Total : 36.11%	1-1 @ 13.3% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 10.27% ( -1.06) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.32) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.55%	0-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.67) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.33%