Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Dec 26, 2025 at 3pm UK

Egypt
vs.
South Africa

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Egypt and South Africa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Egypt 2-1 Zimbabwe
Monday, December 22 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

South Africa

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: South Africa 2-1 Angola
Monday, December 22 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Egypt win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for South Africa has a probability of 31.57% and a draw has a probability of 28.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest South Africa win is 0-1 (10.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.14%).

Result
Egypt	Draw	South Africa
40.35% ( 0.04)	28.08% ( 0.01)	31.57% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 46.88% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.92% (

-0.04)

59.08% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.47% (

-0.03)

79.53% (

0.03)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.33% (

0.01)

28.67% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.51% (

0.01)

64.49% (

-0.01)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.72% (

-0.05)

34.28% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.02% (

-0.06)

70.98% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Egypt 40.34%

South Africa 31.57%

Draw 28.08%

Egypt	Draw	South Africa
1-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 40.34%	1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.08%	0-1 @ 10.52% 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 31.57%