Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 49.25%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 24.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.44%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 1-0 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Egypt in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Egypt.
