Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Dec 27, 2025 at 8pm UK

Nigeria
vs.
Tunisia

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Group Stage clash between Nigeria and Tunisia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions

Last Game: Egypt 2-1 Nigeria
Tuesday, December 16 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Nigeria vs. Tanzania
Tuesday, December 23 at 5.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Tunisia

All competitions

Last Game: Brazil 1-1 Tunisia
Tuesday, November 18 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Tunisia vs. Uganda
Tuesday, December 23 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nigeria win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Tunisia has a probability of 32.58% and a draw has a probability of 28.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Tunisia win is 0-1 (10.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.21%).

Result
Nigeria	Draw	Tunisia
39.13% ( 4.17)	28.28% ( -1.22)	32.58% ( -2.95)

Both teams to score 46.57% (

3.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.41% (

3.93)

59.59% (

-3.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.08% (

2.92)

79.92% (

-2.92)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.38% (

4.64)

29.62% (

-4.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.34% (

5.3)

65.66% (

-5.29)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.17% (

0.05)

33.83% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.51% (

0.06)

70.49% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Nigeria 39.13%

Tunisia 32.58%

Draw 28.28%

Nigeria	Draw	Tunisia
1-0 @ 12.19% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.83) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.76) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.69) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.63) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.37) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.3) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.28) Other @ 1.55% Total : 39.13%	1-1 @ 13.21% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 10.02% ( -1.58) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.46) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.28%	0-1 @ 10.86% ( -1.7) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.91) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.33) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.58%