Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Dec 27, 2025 at 3pm UK

Senegal
vs.
Congo DR

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Group Stage clash between Senegal and Congo DR.

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Senegal 3-0 Botswana
Tuesday, December 23 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	7	9
2	Cameroon	3	-1	4
3	Guinea	3	-1	4
4	Gambia	3	-5	0

Congo DR

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Congo DR 1-0 Benin
Tuesday, December 23 at 12.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Senegal win with a probability of 62.05%. A draw has a probability of 24.7% and a win for Congo DR has a probability of 13.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win is 1-0 with a probability of 18.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (14.47%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (11.53%) , while for a Congo DR win it is 0-1 (6.64%).

Result
Senegal	Draw	Congo DR
62.05% ( 5.06)	24.7% ( -2.71)	13.25% ( -2.35)

Both teams to score 34.78% (

1.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.65% (

4.39)

63.35% (

-4.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.28% (

3.04)

82.72% (

-3.04)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.49% (

3.99)

20.51% (

-3.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47% (

5.96)

53% (

-5.95)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.75% (

-0.85)

56.25% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.39% (

-0.5)

88.61% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Senegal 62.03%

Congo DR 13.25%

Draw 24.7%

Senegal	Draw	Congo DR
1-0 @ 18.27% ( -0.81) 2-0 @ 14.47% ( 1.05) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.4) 3-0 @ 7.65% ( 1.35) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.68) 4-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.82) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.44) 3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.17) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.34) Other @ 1.92% Total : 62.03%	0-0 @ 11.53% ( -2.03) 1-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.76) 2-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.7%	0-1 @ 6.64% ( -1.38) 1-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.46) Other @ 1.68% Total : 13.25%