Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 16, 2022 at 4pm UK
Tunisia4 - 0Mauritania
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kamara (37')
We said: Tunisia 2-0 Mauritania
Tunisia were unlucky not to get something out of their opener against Mali despite being on the front foot for most of the game. We expect them to right their wrongs on Sunday and come away with all three points as they take on a less-experienced and struggling Mauritania side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 19.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 1-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Mauritania win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tunisia | Draw | Mauritania |
| 58.89% | 21.3% | 19.81% |
| Both teams to score 57.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
