Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Dec 29, 2025 at 4pm UK

Zimbabwe
vs.
South Africa

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Group Stage clash between Zimbabwe and South Africa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zimbabwe

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Angola 1-1 Zimbabwe
Friday, December 26 at 12.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

South Africa

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Egypt 1-0 South Africa
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a South Africa win with a probability of 67.6%. A draw has a probability of 20.97% and a win for Zimbabwe has a probability of 11.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win is 0-1 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (14.55%) and 0-3 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.56%) , while for a Zimbabwe win it is 1-0 (5.09%).

Result
Zimbabwe	Draw	South Africa
11.43% ( -1.1)	20.97% ( -1.2)	67.6% ( 2.3)

Both teams to score 38.96% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.44% (

2.02)

54.56% (

-2.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.09% (

1.65)

75.91% (

-1.66)

Zimbabwe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46% (

-0.69)

54% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.73% (

-0.43)

87.27% (

0.43)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.69% (

1.46)

15.31% (

-1.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.96% (

2.67)

44.04% (

-2.67)

Score Analysis

Zimbabwe 11.43%

South Africa 67.59%

Draw 20.97%

Zimbabwe	Draw	South Africa
1-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.53) 2-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.2) Other @ 1.82% Total : 11.43%	1-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.48) 0-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.67) 2-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.38% Total : 20.97%	0-1 @ 15.51% ( -0.45) 0-2 @ 14.55% ( 0.3) 0-3 @ 9.11% ( 0.62) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.61% ( 0.28) 0-4 @ 4.27% ( 0.49) 1-4 @ 2.63% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 1.6% ( 0.25) 1-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.61% Total : 67.59%