MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 07:59:27| >> :60:1540:1540:
Senegal national football team
African Nations Championship | Semi-Finals
Jan 31, 2023 at 7pm UK
 
Madagascar national football team

Senegal
1 - 0
Madagascar

Diallo (5')
Sidibe (85'), Koite (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's African Nations Championship clash between Senegal and Madagascar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
African Nations Championship
Last Game: Senegal 1-0 Mauritania
Friday, January 27 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
All competitions
African Nations Championship
Last Game: Madagascar 3-1 Mozambique
Saturday, January 28 at 4pm in African Nations Championship

We said: Senegal 2-1 Madagascar

Senegal have the upper hand judging by their previous matchups against Madagascar, and they will fancy themselves to carry the day once again. While we see Madagascar putting up a decent fight, we are tipping Senegal to just about emerge triumphant. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 73.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 7.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (18.03%) and 3-0 (11.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.38%), while for a Madagascar win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 19.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.

Result
SenegalDrawMadagascar
73.13% (0.31200000000001 0.31) 19.73% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 7.14% (-0.2879 -0.29)
Both teams to score 27.92% (-0.98 -0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.46% (-0.647 -0.65)60.54% (0.645 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.35% (-0.493 -0.49)80.65% (0.48899999999999 0.49)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.49% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)15.51% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.58% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)44.42% (0.216 0.22)
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
33.04% (-1.114 -1.11)66.96% (1.111 1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.18% (-0.4571 -0.46)93.82% (0.45399999999999 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Senegal 73.12%
    Madagascar 7.14%
    Draw 19.72%
SenegalDrawMadagascar
1-0 @ 19.35% (0.39 0.39)
2-0 @ 18.03% (0.29 0.29)
3-0 @ 11.2% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 7.23% (-0.181 -0.18)
4-0 @ 5.22% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.09% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.95% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 0.9% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 73.12%
0-0 @ 10.38% (0.25 0.25)
1-1 @ 7.76% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-2 @ 1.45% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 19.72%
0-1 @ 4.17% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-2 @ 1.56% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 7.14%

How you voted: Winner SF2 vs Winner Semi-final 3

Winner Semi-final 2
64.0%
Draw
16.0%
Winner Semi-final 3
20.0%
25
rhs 2.0
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