Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 71.31%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Orebro had a probability of 11.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for a Orebro win it was 1-2 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.