Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest IFK Goteborg win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.