MX23RW : Monday, February 3 10:12:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 14
Jul 9, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Guldfageln Arena

Kalmar
0 - 4
Elfsborg


Friedrich (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hult (30'), Okkels (52'), Zeneli (77'), Larsson (79')
Aron Gudjohnsen (22'), Frick (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Kalmar and Elfsborg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kalmar

All competitions
Last Game: Mjallby AIF 1-1 Kalmar
Monday, July 3 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Elfsborg

All competitions
Last Game: Elfsborg 2-0 Hammarby
Monday, July 3 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Kalmar 1-2 Elfsborg

 This is a very close one to call, as both sides are currently on the up and carrying solid form into the match. The visitors, though, have an excellent away record, scoring two or more goals in four of their last five matches on the road, while the hosts have conceded in each of their last four home games. On those grounds, we are going for Elfsborg to win by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.

Result
KalmarDrawElfsborg
37.27% (0.694 0.69) 26.76% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 35.97% (-0.61799999999999 -0.62)
Both teams to score 51.68% (0.232 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.6% (0.301 0.3)53.39% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.07% (0.254 0.25)74.93% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Kalmar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.28% (0.55200000000001 0.55)27.72% (-0.554 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.71% (0.704 0.7)63.28% (-0.706 -0.71)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.5% (-0.226 -0.23)28.49% (0.225 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.73% (-0.283 -0.28)64.26% (0.281 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Kalmar 37.27%
    Elfsborg 35.97%
    Draw 26.76%
KalmarDrawElfsborg
1-0 @ 10.13% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.105 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.5% (0.124 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.49% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.78% (0.095 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 37.27%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.9% (-0.095 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 9.92% (-0.175 -0.18)
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.23% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.61% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.97%

How you voted: Kalmar vs Elfsborg

Kalmar
22.7%
Draw
13.6%
Elfsborg
63.6%
22
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 25
Elfsborg
0-2
Kalmar
Nanasi (42'), Sachpekidis (45+2')
Jul 24, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 15
Kalmar
1-0
Elfsborg
Berg (48')
Kristjan Olafsson (66')

Olsson (56'), Aron Gudjohnsen (62'), Romer (63')
Aug 29, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 17
Kalmar
0-3
Elfsborg

Ring (76')
Olsson (3'), Bernhardsson (24'), Alm (75')
May 8, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 5
Elfsborg
2-2
Kalmar
Frick (4'), Vaisanen (61')
Holmen (26'), Ronning (38'), Larsson (90+8')
Ring (63'), Berg (88')
Lofkvist (10'), Ring (90+8')
Oct 18, 2020 1.30pm
Gameweek 24
Elfsborg
3-1
Kalmar
Holst (23'), Okkels (27'), Frick (57' pen.)
Vaisanen (53')
Israelsson (78')
Arokoyo (48'), Magnusson (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1AIK FotbollAIK00000000
2BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna00000000
3Degerfors00000000
4Djurgardens IFDjurgarden00000000
5ElfsborgElfsborg00000000
6GAISGAIS00000000
7HackenHacken00000000
8Halmstads BKHalmstad00000000
9HammarbyHammarby00000000
10IFK GoteborgGoteborg00000000
11MalmoMalmo00000000
12Mjallby AIF00000000
13IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping00000000
14Oster00000000
15SiriusSirius00000000
16Varnamo00000000
> Swedish Allsvenskan Full Table


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