Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 17
Aug 4, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Guldfageln Arena
Kalmar1 - 4Hammarby
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Norrkoping 2-0 Kalmar
Saturday, July 27 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Saturday, July 27 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Hammarby 3-0 Mjallby AIF
Sunday, July 28 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Sunday, July 28 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Goals
for
for
26
We said: Kalmar 0-2 Hammarby
Hammarby's resounding response to losing away at Mjallby has been admirable, and we are backing the fourth-placed side to keep that run going against the second-bottom Kalmar, who have lost a joint-high five matches on their turf this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
Result | ||
Kalmar | Draw | Hammarby |
33.68% ( 0.11) | 25.13% ( -0.06) | 41.19% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 56.76% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.27% ( 0.29) | 46.73% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.01% ( 0.27) | 68.99% ( -0.27) |
Kalmar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.32% ( 0.2) | 26.67% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.08% ( 0.27) | 61.92% ( -0.27) |
Hammarby Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.4% ( 0.1) | 22.59% ( -0.1) |