Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
