MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 08:22:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
Malmo
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 13
Jul 1, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Eleda Stadion (Malmo)

Malmo
3 - 0
Sirius

Kiese Thelin (5', 47' pen.), Nanasi (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nwadike (44'), Sjogrell (89')
Nwadike (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and Sirius, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Varnamo 1-3 Malmo
Saturday, June 10 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Sirius 2-0 Goteborg
Sunday, June 11 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Malmo 2-1 Sirius

In their 12 meetings with Malmo since their promotion, Sirius have only managed to secure one victory, which occurred in their previous encounter last season at the Studenternas IP. However, Malmo come into this fixture in superior form and boast an impeccable home record, in contrast to Sirius, who have struggled with inconsistency in their away performances. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 66.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 14.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Sirius win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawSirius
66.5% (-5.497 -5.5) 18.62% (2.083 2.08) 14.87% (3.407 3.41)
Both teams to score 56.05% (2.647 2.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.15% (-1.564 -1.56)36.85% (1.556 1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.97% (-1.715 -1.72)59.02% (1.708 1.71)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.72% (-1.701 -1.7)10.28% (1.694 1.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.33% (-4.008 -4.01)33.67% (4.001 4)
Sirius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.48% (4.053 4.05)37.52% (-4.06 -4.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.7% (3.76 3.76)74.3% (-3.767 -3.77)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 66.5%
    Sirius 14.87%
    Draw 18.62%
MalmoDrawSirius
2-0 @ 9.98% (-0.768 -0.77)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.343 0.34)
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.57% (-1.236 -1.24)
3-1 @ 7.42% (-0.306 -0.31)
4-0 @ 4.31% (-1.099 -1.1)
4-1 @ 4.22% (-0.522 -0.52)
3-2 @ 3.64% (0.247 0.25)
4-2 @ 2.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.96% (-0.694 -0.69)
5-1 @ 1.92% (-0.408 -0.41)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 66.5%
1-1 @ 8.6% (0.911 0.91)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.653 0.65)
0-0 @ 3.86% (0.287 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.196 0.2)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.62%
1-2 @ 4.22% (0.841 0.84)
0-1 @ 3.78% (0.648 0.65)
0-2 @ 1.85% (0.478 0.48)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.355 0.36)
1-3 @ 1.38% (0.39 0.39)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 14.87%

How you voted: Malmo vs Sirius

Malmo
94.1%
Draw
0.0%
Sirius
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 17
Sirius
2-1
Malmo
Mathisen (45'), Kouakou (57')
Mathisen (15'), Voelkerling-Persson (49'), Bjorkstrom (72')
Jul 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 15
Malmo
3-1
Sirius
Sejdiu (33', 89'), Zeidan (52')
Rogic (87' pen.)
Widgren (18'), Stensson (32')
Widgren (49')
Oct 30, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 26
Sirius
2-3
Malmo
Girmai (51'), Sylisufaj (53')
Widgren (89')
Inge Berget (49' pen.), Colak (76', 90+2')
Ahmedhodzic (20'), Rieks (45'), Innocent (51'), Abubakari (53'), Dahlin (54'), Larsson (75'), Colak (90+3')
Jul 10, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 10
Malmo
4-0
Sirius
Colak (1'), Rieks (22'), Birmancevic (88'), Christiansen (90+3')
Birmancevic (83'), Nalic (90+1')

Colley (38'), Bjorkstrom (56'), Mathisen (60')
Nov 8, 2020 4.30pm
Gameweek 27
Malmo
4-0
Sirius
Kiese Thelin (3'), Christiansen (8'), Toivonen (15'), Larsson (76')
Inge Berget (63'), Rakip (69')

Shabani (38'), Andersson (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo29188365244162
2HammarbyHammarby29166748242454
3AIK FotbollAIK29163104140151
4Djurgardens IFDjurgarden2915594234850
5Mjallby AIF2913884335847
6GAISGAIS29136103433145
7ElfsborgElfsborg29135115244844
8HackenHacken29126115450442
9SiriusSirius29125124644241
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna29810114551-634
11IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping2997133554-1934
12Halmstads BKHalmstad29103163145-1433
13IFK GoteborgGoteborg29710123342-931
14Varnamo2979133040-1030
15KalmarKalmar2976163758-2127
16Vasteras SKVasteras2955192543-1820


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