Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Ostersunds FK had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Ostersunds FK win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.