MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:23:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 17
Aug 4, 2024 at 1pm UK
Finnvedsvallen

Varnamo
2 - 4
Sirius

Steinwender (51'), Thern (64')
Grozdanic (3'), Steinwender (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Walta (10', 84' pen.), Persson (36', 69')
Persson (13'), Olsson (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varnamo and Sirius, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Halmstad 1-0 Varnamo
Saturday, July 27 at 7pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 0-1 Sirius
Saturday, July 27 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Varnamo 1-2 Sirius

While both teams have experienced very similar Allsvenskan campaigns thus far, it is Sirius who come into Sunday's meeting with the momentum, and we back them to make it consecutive three-point hauls against a Varnamo side lacking confidence in the midst of another rut. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Sirius win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
VarnamoDrawSirius
41.36% (0.113 0.11) 24.94% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 33.71% (-0.133 -0.13)
Both teams to score 57.46% (-0.115 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.18% (-0.138 -0.14)45.82% (0.14 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.87% (-0.13 -0.13)68.14% (0.13300000000001 0.13)
Varnamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)22.12% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.51% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)55.49% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Sirius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78% (-0.143 -0.14)26.22% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (-0.193 -0.19)61.32% (0.196 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Varnamo 41.36%
    Sirius 33.71%
    Draw 24.93%
VarnamoDrawSirius
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.75% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.6% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.32% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.0039999999999998 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 41.36%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.8% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.93%
1-2 @ 7.84% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.76% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 33.71%

How you voted: Varnamo vs Sirius

Varnamo
31.7%
Draw
24.4%
Sirius
43.9%
41
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 4
Sirius
0-1
Varnamo

Salech (45+4'), Voelkerling-Persson (74')
Zeljkovic (5')
Larsson (32'), Engvall (45')
Sep 25, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 24
Varnamo
0-1
Sirius

Larsson (40'), Wenderson (58')
Matthews (90+2')
Karlsson (20'), Mattiasson (21'), Voelkerling-Persson (62'), Stensson (76')
Jun 4, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 11
Sirius
2-0
Varnamo
Bjarnason (31'), Matthews (45+3' pen.)

Eriksson (56'), Hellberg (82')
Sep 10, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 22
Sirius
2-3
Varnamo
Voelkerling-Persson (47'), Matthews (70')
Magashy (37'), Antonsson (42'), Zeljkovic (54')
Apr 11, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 2
Varnamo
0-0
Sirius
Tihi (88')
Ssewankambo (6'), Shabani (57'), Sylisufaj (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo30198367254265
2HammarbyHammarby30166848252354
3AIK FotbollAIK30173104641554
4Djurgardens IFDjurgarden30165945351053
5Mjallby AIF3014884435950
6GAISGAIS30146103634248
7ElfsborgElfsborg30136115244845
8HackenHacken30126125451342
9SiriusSirius30125134746141
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna30810124653-734
11IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping3097143657-2134
12Halmstads BKHalmstad30103173250-1833
13IFK GoteborgGoteborg30710133343-1031
14Varnamo30710133040-1031
15KalmarKalmar3086163858-2030
16Vasteras SKVasteras3065192643-1723


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