MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:08:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Atletico Tucuman
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jun 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Presidente Jose Fierro
Defensa y Justicia

Tucuman
1 - 1
Defensa

Tesuri (13')
Romero (31')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Molinas (32')
Molinas (33'), Fernandez (59'), Herrera (76'), Schamine (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Atletico Tucuman and Defensa y Justicia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Tucuman

All competitions
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-1 Tucuman
Sunday, June 2 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 Independiente
Tuesday, June 4 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Atletico Tucuman 1-1 Defensa y Justicia

 Saturday's encounter is difficult to call because of both sides' underwhelming results preceding gameweek five. Tucuman are winless in four games in all competitions, while Defensa have not recorded victory of any kind since mid-April, thus pointing to a share of the spoils at the Jose Fierro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 45.64%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 25.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Atletico TucumanDrawDefensa y Justicia
45.64% (2.53 2.53) 29.03% (0.436 0.44) 25.33% (-2.969 -2.97)
Both teams to score 41.19% (-2.925 -2.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.43% (-2.709 -2.71)64.57% (2.705 2.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.41% (-1.955 -1.96)83.59% (1.952 1.95)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.56% (0.040000000000006 0.04)28.44% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.8% (0.052 0.05)64.2% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.57% (-4.123 -4.12)42.43% (4.12 4.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.19% (-3.741 -3.74)78.81% (3.738 3.74)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Tucuman 45.64%
    Defensa y Justicia 25.32%
    Draw 29.01%
Atletico TucumanDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 15.17% (1.47 1.47)
2-0 @ 9.54% (0.934 0.93)
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4% (0.396 0.4)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.189 -0.19)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.126 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 45.64%
1-1 @ 13% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 12.06% (1.15 1.15)
2-2 @ 3.51% (-0.456 -0.46)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 29.01%
0-1 @ 10.34% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 5.58% (-0.732 -0.73)
0-2 @ 4.44% (-0.588 -0.59)
1-3 @ 1.59% (-0.424 -0.42)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.339 -0.34)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.265 -0.27)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 25.32%

How you voted: Tucuman vs Defensa

Atletico Tucuman
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Defensa y Justicia
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 5
Defensa
3-0
Tucuman
Solari (13'), Fernandez (36' pen.), Barbona (45+3')
Oct 22, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 27
Defensa
3-1
Tucuman
Fernandez (21', 74'), Dominguez (83')
Coronel (71' pen.)
Apr 17, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 10
Defensa
1-1
Tucuman
Merentiel (58')
Frias (38')
Lotti (16')
Gil Romero (46'), Tesuri (65')
Nov 24, 2021 10.15pm
Second Phase
Tucuman
0-4
Defensa

Acosta (58'), Ortiz (67'), Bustos (85')
Merentiel (20'), Hachen (63'), Bou (67' pen.), Pizzini (76')
May 8, 2021 7.30pm
First Phase
Tucuman
5-0
Defensa
Toledo (15', 45'), Lamendola (80'), Lotti (84', 85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan23119327151242
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4River PlateRiver Plate2299430161436
5TalleresTalleres229942622436
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors239772823534
9Platense238961816233
10Instituto239592925432
11Deportivo Riestra238872424032
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
13IndependienteIndependiente2261241914530
14BelgranoBelgrano227962725230
15GimnasiaGimnasia227872019129
16TigreTigre237882628-229
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
22Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
23Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
24Independiente Rivadavia226791523-825
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento224991523-821
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2237121029-1916
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!