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Defensa y Justicia
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Feb 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Defensa
1 - 0
Newell's OB

Gutierrez (28')
Escalante (20'), Lopez (61'), Soto (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mosquera (26')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Newell's Old Boys.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gimnasia 0-2 Defensa
Monday, February 6 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 1-0 Velez Sarsfield
Friday, February 3 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawNewell's Old Boys
42.42% (0.584 0.58) 27.36% (0.267 0.27) 30.21% (-0.848 -0.85)
Both teams to score 48.43% (-1.132 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.12% (-1.277 -1.28)56.88% (1.278 1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.2% (-1.033 -1.03)77.8% (1.034 1.03)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28)26.5% (0.279 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (-0.371 -0.37)61.69% (0.372 0.37)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.89% (-1.287 -1.29)34.11% (1.289 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.2% (-1.407 -1.41)70.8% (1.41 1.41)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 42.42%
    Newell's Old Boys 30.21%
    Draw 27.36%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawNewell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 12% (0.48 0.48)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.97% (0.26 0.26)
3-1 @ 3.8% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.53% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 42.42%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 9.04% (0.434 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 9.72% (0.135 0.14)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-2 @ 5.23% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 30.21%

Head to Head
Jul 25, 2022 11pm
Newell's OB
1-2
Defensa
Garro (90+5')
Sforza (17'), Ditta (31'), Sordo (56'), Perez (59'), Luciano (86'), Lema (90+3')
Fernandez (5'), Duarte (48')
Fontana (12'), Souto (45+1'), Lopez (58')
Feb 11, 2022 12.30am
Newell's OB
1-0
Defensa
Gonzalez (59')
Perez (40')

Pizzini (51')
Colombo (21')
Aug 25, 2021 8.30pm
Defensa
2-0
Newell's OB
Hachen (57'), Pizzini (76')
Silva (90+3')

Ateya (11'), Negri (50'), Lema (51'), Maccari (80'), Compagnucci (90+1')
Mar 13, 2021 10.20pm
Defensa
4-0
Newell's OB
Benitez (7', 26'), Bou (50' pen.), Pizzini (66')
Britez (3')

Fernandez (35'), Sforza (70'), Lema (74')
Nov 10, 2019 6.30pm
Newell's OB
2-0
Defensa
Rodriguez (2' pen.), Formica (44')
Fernandez (39'), Rivero (91')

Ojeda (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan241110327151243
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4TalleresTalleres2310942822639
5River PlateRiver Plate2399531181336
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors249872823535
9IndependienteIndependiente2371242014633
10Instituto249692925433
11Platense238961816233
12Deportivo Riestra238872424032
13BelgranoBelgrano2371062826231
14EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
15TigreTigre247982628-230
16GimnasiaGimnasia237882020029
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Independiente Rivadavia237791724-728
22Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
24Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento2349101525-1021
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2338121130-1917


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