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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 19
Jun 5, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
Atletico Tucuman

Lanus
2 - 1
Tucuman

De la Vega (35'), Loaiza (45+2')
Martin Ginzo (15')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Coronel (23')
Flores (15'), Manuel Azconzabal (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Atletico Tucuman, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Lanus
Sunday, May 28 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, May 27 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Lanus 2-0 Atletico Tucuman

Lanus are faring very well in the Argentine Primera Division, having improved considerably since last season, and they have a near-impeccable record at home against Atletico Tucuman, going undefeated in the last seven meetings between the two sides on home soil. As such, we expect the hosts to record a fairly comfortable victory, keeping them in the hunt for the Copa Libertadores qualification places. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 18.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.58%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

Result
LanusDrawAtletico Tucuman
52.37% (1.284 1.28) 28.66% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 18.97% (-1.267 -1.27)
Both teams to score 35.93% (-1.449 -1.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.22% (-0.972 -0.97)67.78% (0.976 0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.21% (-0.652 -0.65)85.78% (0.655 0.66)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37% (0.14999999999999 0.15)26.63% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.14% (0.198 0.2)61.86% (-0.193 -0.19)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.97% (-2.076 -2.08)51.03% (2.081 2.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.64% (-1.439 -1.44)85.36% (1.442 1.44)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 52.36%
    Atletico Tucuman 18.97%
    Draw 28.64%
LanusDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 17.98% (0.71 0.71)
2-0 @ 11.89% (0.52 0.52)
2-1 @ 8% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-0 @ 5.25% (0.249 0.25)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.09 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 52.36%
0-0 @ 13.58% (0.48 0.48)
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 2.69% (-0.211 -0.21)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 28.64%
0-1 @ 9.14% (-0.222 -0.22)
1-2 @ 4.07% (-0.338 -0.34)
0-2 @ 3.08% (-0.269 -0.27)
1-3 @ 0.91% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 18.97%

Head to Head
Jun 15, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 3
Tucuman
2-1
Lanus
Carrera (53', 78' pen.)
Rius (32'), Bianchi (44'), Garay (90')
Varaldo (34')
Gonzalez (28'), Belmonte (51'), Perez (90+4')
Jul 17, 2021 7.45pm
Second Phase
Lanus
4-2
Tucuman
Sand (26' pen., 47'), Manuel Lopez (45'), Malcorra (90+2')
Heredia (35'), Carrera (67')
Bustos (45+2'), Mussis (90+1')
Mar 6, 2021 10.20pm
First Phase
Lanus
2-1
Tucuman
Sand (73' pen.), Esquivel (89')
Perez (23'), Quignon (53')
Acosta (24')
Acosta (45'), Aguirre (74')
Feb 23, 2020 12.50am
gameweek 21
Tucuman
2-2
Lanus
Aguirre (5'), Gissi (90')
Lotti (45'), Lagos (52'), Bravo (76'), Risso (90')
De la Vega (67', 89')
Di Placido (37'), Vera (45'), Orsini (79'), Perez (83')
Oct 7, 2018 5.15pm
gameweek 8
Tucuman
0-0
Lanus

San Roman (11'), Abero (16')

Di Placido (39'), Acosta (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield27149438162251
2TalleresTalleres2713953427748
3Racing ClubRacing27144942301246
4HuracanHuracan271210528181046
5River PlateRiver Plate271110638211743
6Boca Juniors2711973023742
7IndependienteIndependiente2791352517840
8Atletico TucumanTucuman2711792827140
9UnionUnion2711792726140
10Platense2710982018239
11Independiente Rivadavia2710892325-238
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Instituto27106113231136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2781183128335
16BelgranoBelgrano2781183332135
17Deportivo Riestra2781182627-135
18TigreTigre2781092730-334
19GimnasiaGimnasia2788112123-232
20Rosario CentralRosario2788112730-332
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2771192733-632
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2787122936-731
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2777132235-1328
26Sarmiento27511111828-1026
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823


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