Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 19
Jun 5, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
We said: Lanus 2-0 Atletico Tucuman
Lanus are faring very well in the Argentine Primera Division, having improved considerably since last season, and they have a near-impeccable record at home against Atletico Tucuman, going undefeated in the last seven meetings between the two sides on home soil.
As such, we expect the hosts to record a fairly comfortable victory, keeping them in the hunt for the Copa Libertadores qualification places.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 52.37% . A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 18.97% .
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.98% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (8%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.58%) , while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (9.14%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
Result Lanus Draw Atletico Tucuman 52.37% ( 1.28) 28.66% ( -0.01) 18.97% ( -1.27)
Both teams to score 35.93% ( -1.45)
32.22% ( -0.97) 67.78% ( 0.98)
14.21% ( -0.65) 85.78% ( 0.66)
73.37% ( 0.15) 26.63% ( -0.15)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 38.14% ( 0.2) 61.86% ( -0.19)
48.97% ( -2.08) 51.03% ( 2.08)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 14.64% ( -1.44) 85.36% ( 1.44)
Lanus 52.36%
Atletico Tucuman 18.97%
Draw 28.64%
Lanus Draw Atletico Tucuman 1-0 @ 17.98% ( 0.71) 2-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 8% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 52.36% 0-0 @ 13.58% ( 0.48) 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.28% Total : 28.64% 0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.78% Total : 18.97%
rhs 2.0
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