Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 67.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 12.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.94%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.