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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 19
Jun 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
2 - 0
Gimnasia

Domina (56'), Castrillon (72')
Machuca (37'), Roldan (55'), Gordillo (70'), Calderon (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lescano (12'), Miramon (52'), Torres (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Gimnasia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union

All competitions
Last Game: Huracan 0-1 Union
Monday, May 29 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Gimnasia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-0 Sarmiento
Saturday, May 27 at 3pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Union 1-0 Gimnasia

 We do not expect there to be many goals between these two sides, who have both looked to keep things tight recently. Union appear to be finding their groove lately, though, so we can envisage another 1-0 victory for Munua's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 48.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 23.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union would win this match.

Result
UnionDrawGimnasia
48.64% (0.155 0.16) 27.5% (-0.302 -0.3) 23.85% (0.139 0.14)
Both teams to score 43.74% (0.877 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.3% (1.06 1.06)60.69% (-1.067 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.23% (0.789 0.79)80.76% (-0.797 -0.8)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88% (0.551 0.55)25.12% (-0.56 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.17% (0.758 0.76)59.82% (-0.766 -0.77)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.41% (0.742 0.74)41.58% (-0.749 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.93% (0.647 0.65)78.07% (-0.655 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    Union 48.64%
    Gimnasia 23.85%
    Draw 27.5%
UnionDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 14.43% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-0 @ 9.97% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.111 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.085 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.59% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 48.64%
1-1 @ 12.66% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 10.44% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-2 @ 3.84% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 27.5%
0-1 @ 9.17% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-2 @ 5.56% (0.096 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.63% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.12% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 23.85%

Head to Head
Aug 18, 2022 11pm
gameweek 14
Union
0-2
Gimnasia

Roldan (42'), Ignacio Nardoni (45+5'), Gerometta (56'), Luna Diale (70'), Gonzalez (90')
Morales (19'), Soldano (86')
Enrique (29'), Rey (56'), Aleman (58')
Apr 23, 2022 6pm
gameweek 12
Gimnasia
1-0
Union
Sosa (48')
Ramirez (18'), Piris (43'), Tarragona (76'), Aleman (90+3')
Gorosito (88')

Ignacio Nardoni (27'), Britez (29')
Sep 20, 2021 5.30pm
Second Phase
Gimnasia
1-0
Union
Guiffrey (55')
Contin (90+6')

Ignacio Nardoni (43'), Calderon (47'), Manuel Garcia (73')
Oct 20, 2019 5.15pm
gameweek 10
Gimnasia
0-1
Union

Guanini (15'), Contin (58')
Bonifacio (79')
Gomez Andrade (7'), Mazzola (50')
Sep 30, 2018 7.30pm
gameweek 7
Union
1-0
Gimnasia
Zabala (40')
Martinez (24')

Silva (10'), Faravelli (18'), Rinaudo (79'), Piovi (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield27149438162251
2TalleresTalleres2713953427748
3Racing ClubRacing27144942301246
4HuracanHuracan271210528181046
5River PlateRiver Plate271110638211743
6Boca Juniors2711973023742
7IndependienteIndependiente2791352517840
8Atletico TucumanTucuman2711792827140
9UnionUnion2711792726140
10Platense2710982018239
11Independiente Rivadavia2710892325-238
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Instituto27106113231136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2781183128335
16BelgranoBelgrano2781183332135
17Deportivo Riestra2781182627-135
18TigreTigre2781092730-334
19GimnasiaGimnasia2788112123-232
20Rosario CentralRosario2788112730-332
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2771192733-632
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2787122936-731
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2777132235-1328
26Sarmiento27511111828-1026
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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