Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Sep 20, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Velez Sarsfield2 - 1Arsenal
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Arsenal Sarandi.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gimnasia 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Wednesday, September 13 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Wednesday, September 13 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
29
Last Game: River Plate 3-1 Arsenal
Sunday, September 17 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, September 17 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
23
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 53.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 19.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
53.99% ( 2.71) | 26.86% ( -0.58) | 19.14% ( -2.13) |
| Both teams to score 40.02% ( -1.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
