MX23RW : Sunday, February 2 11:58:14| >> :600:29184472:29184472:
Australia national football team
Asian Cup | Quarter-Finals
Feb 2, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Al Janoub Stadium
South Korea national football team

Australia
1 - 2
South Korea

Goodwin (42')
Souttar (45+1')
O'Neill (105+4')
FT
(aet)
Hee-chan (90+6' pen.), Heung-min (104')
Min-jae (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Asian Cup clash between Australia and South Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Australia 4-0 Indonesia
Sunday, January 28 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-1 South Korea (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, January 30 at 4pm in Asian Cup

We say: Australia 1-1 South Korea (Australia advances on penalties)

South Korea have been remarkably resilient throughout the tournament, but we believe their luck will run out against a Socceroos side that have shown discipline, poise and consistency throughout this competition, which is why we are leaning towards them narrowly advancing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for South Korea had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest South Korea win was 0-1 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%).

Result
AustraliaDrawSouth Korea
38.95% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 28.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 32.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.35% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.12% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)59.88% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.86% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01)80.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Australia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)29.87% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.04% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)65.96% (0.02300000000001 0.02)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.09% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)33.91% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.42% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)70.58% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Australia 38.94%
    South Korea 32.67%
    Draw 28.36%
AustraliaDrawSouth Korea
1-0 @ 12.23%
2-1 @ 8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 38.94%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 10.12%
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.36%
0-1 @ 10.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.16%
0-2 @ 5.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 32.67%

How you voted: Winner Match 37 vs Winner Match 42

Winner Match 37
33.7%
Draw
24.2%
Winner Match 42
42.1%
95
Head to Head
Jun 7, 2019 12pm
International Friendlies
South Korea
1-0
Australia
Eui-Jo (76')
Moon-Hwan (71')

Amini (60'), Borello (91')
Nov 17, 2018 8.50am
International Friendlies
Australia
1-1
South Korea
Luongo (90')
Milligan (88'), Boyle (89')
Ui-jo (22')
Chul (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Everton236892328-526
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!