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Asian Cup
Kyrgyzstan national football team
Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 21, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Ahmad Bin Ali Stadium
Saudi Arabia national football team

Kyrgyzstan
0 - 2
Saudi Arabia


Brauzman (22'), Mischenko (42')
Akmatov (9'), Merk (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kanoo (35'), Al-Ghamdi (84')
Al-Shehri (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Asian Cup clash between Kyrgyzstan and Saudi Arabia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kyrgyzstan

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Thailand 2-0 Kyrgyzstan
Tuesday, January 16 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup

Saudi Arabia

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 2-1 Oman
Tuesday, January 16 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup

We said: Kyrgyzstan 0-2 Saudi Arabia

 Their opening game victory may have felt like a great escape, but Saudi Arabia showed they have the depth and patience to win in various ways, and those qualities seem to be missing right now for Kyrgyzstan. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 70.01%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 11.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.11%) and 0-3 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 1-0 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Saudi Arabia in this match.

Result
KyrgyzstanDrawSaudi Arabia
11.02% (-0.019 -0.02) 18.98% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 70.01% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 43.29% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.21% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)47.79% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.03% (0.0039999999999978 0)69.98%
Kyrgyzstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.45% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)50.55% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.97% (-0.023 -0.02)85.04% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.54% (0.013000000000005 0.01)12.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.59% (0.024000000000001 0.02)38.41% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Kyrgyzstan 11.02%
    Saudi Arabia 70%
    Draw 18.98%
KyrgyzstanDrawSaudi Arabia
1-0 @ 4.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 3.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 11.02%
1-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 3.18% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 18.98%
0-2 @ 13.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 13.11%
0-3 @ 9.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.32% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
1-3 @ 6.47%
0-4 @ 4.94% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-5 @ 2.06% (0.004 0)
1-5 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 70%

How you voted: Kyrgyzstan vs Saudi Arabia

Kyrgyzstan
0.0%
Draw
14.3%
Saudi Arabia
85.7%
14
rhs 2.0
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