MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 19:09:57| >> :600:23939976:23939976:
Qatar national football team
Asian Cup | Round of 16
Jan 29, 2024 at 4pm UK
Al Bayt Stadium
Palestine national football team

Qatar
2 - 1
Palestine

Al Heidos (45+6'), Afif (49' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dabbagh (37')
Seyam (15'), Saleh (48'), Mahajna (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Asian Cup clash between Qatar and Palestine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Qatar 1-0 China
Monday, January 22 at 3pm in Asian Cup
All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Hong Kong 0-3 Palestine
Tuesday, January 23 at 3pm in Asian Cup

We said: Qatar 1-0 Palestine

Qatar looked compact and comfortable at the back throughout the group stage, and we believe they will squeak past a highly motivated Palestinian side who give up their share of scoring opportunities. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 45.48%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Palestine had a probability of 25.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Palestine win it was 0-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.

Result
QatarDrawPalestine
45.48% (0.00099999999999767 0) 28.63% (0.037000000000003 0.04) 25.89% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 42.56% (-0.122 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.94% (-0.138 -0.14)63.06% (0.14 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.49% (-0.099 -0.1)82.51% (0.101 0.1)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)27.8% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)63.39% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Palestine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.95% (-0.113 -0.11)41.05% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.4% (-0.101 -0.1)77.6% (0.10300000000001 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Qatar 45.47%
    Palestine 25.89%
    Draw 28.62%
QatarDrawPalestine
1-0 @ 14.6% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.35% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.55% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 45.47%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 11.41% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.71% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.62%
0-1 @ 10.16% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.79% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 25.89%

How you voted: Qatar vs 3rd Group C/D/E

Qatar
94.7%
Draw
2.6%
3rd Group C/D/E
2.6%
76
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2018 5pm
International Friendlies
Qatar
3-0
Palestine
Ali (3'), Afif (19'), Al-Haydos (29')
rhs 2.0
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14West Ham UnitedWest Ham134361724-715
15Everton132561021-1111
16Leicester CityLeicester132471627-1110
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